Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 5.256045 6.129542 7.070093 8.154274 9.365544 10.673165 12.187459
2025-04-27 4.363894 5.614076 7.061574 8.845106 10.966381 13.391292 16.354500
2025-05-04 3.630249 5.117036 6.956229 9.359335 12.374104 15.987554 20.598556
2025-05-11 2.897648 4.473059 6.551738 9.422492 13.204517 17.933641 24.201128
2025-05-18 2.243738 3.799959 5.989949 9.181106 13.583549 19.307153 27.156050
2025-05-25 1.757948 3.263313 5.518256 8.974149 13.947632 20.643686 30.106579
2025-06-01 1.423468 2.885187 5.206909 8.932841 14.500769 22.229782 33.438899
2025-06-08 1.150183 2.547323 4.898738 8.843241 14.950539 23.671325 36.620920
2025-06-15 1.028323 2.448733 4.953060 9.302600 16.223345 26.319814 41.579811
2025-06-22 0.859332 2.224058 4.759694 9.335695 16.835497 28.030624 45.271175
2025-06-29 0.670291 1.912738 4.364271 8.982498 16.801690 28.767166 47.567516
2025-07-06 0.514008 1.628340 3.969627 8.577020 16.635044 29.270697 49.514777
2025-07-13 0.457564 1.565687 4.001897 8.946059 17.789815 31.891374 54.784771
2025-07-20 0.438400 1.592433 4.218743 9.673176 19.593563 35.607129 61.856430
2025-07-27 0.404390 1.571810 4.333026 10.215099 21.108933 38.928316 68.441438
2025-08-03 0.340036 1.448008 4.205654 10.276989 21.785610 40.929932 73.053859
2025-08-10 0.267092 1.272174 3.931037 10.015089 21.860603 41.946543 76.151025
2025-08-17 0.210075 1.123070 3.690534 9.791446 21.979747 43.027179 79.370972
2025-08-24 0.171447 1.020634 3.544583 9.746039 22.416800 44.644468 83.486300
2025-08-31 0.137685 0.920121 3.384212 9.649376 22.743868 46.078878 87.340552
2025-09-07 0.128066 0.916520 3.484121 10.140857 24.232398 49.565626 94.655599
2025-09-14 0.106215 0.847206 3.388632 10.176032 24.823437 51.504656 99.460951
2025-09-21 0.078431 0.729851 3.129087 9.797740 24.560886 51.921487 101.730681